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1	The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable more books like this by Nassim N Taleb add to wishlist Taleb delivers a groundbreaking look at the role played by the unexpected in life and history, and a fascinating examination of why we know less than we think we do--and what to do about it. see all copies from $6.04! new only from $12.50! \| signed copies \| first editions \| SVS
2	Choices, Values, and Frames more books like this by Daniel Kahneman (Editor), Amos Tversky (Editor) add to wishlist This book presents the definitive exposition of 'prospect theory', a compelling alternative to the classical utility theory of choice. Building on the 1982 volume, Judgement Under Uncertainty, this book brings together seminal papers on prospect theory from economists, decision theorists, and psychologists, including the work of the late Amos ... see all copies from $34.95! new only from $45.00! \| SVS
3	Embracing Uncertainty: Breakthrough Methods for Achieving Peace of Mind When Facing the Unknown more books like this by Susan Jeffers, PH.D add to wishlist From the million-copy-plus bestselling author of "Feel the Fear and Do It Anyway" comes a powerful and healing book designed to offer a safety net in a world of never-ending change. With her insights and exercises, Jeffers gives readers the tools to deal with the uncertainty in their lives with a sense of peace and wondrous possibility. see all copies from $1.99! new only from $6.04! \| first editions \| SVS
4	Tomorrow: Adventures in an Uncertain World more books like this by Bradley Trevor Greive add to wishlist Picking up where the "New York Times" bestselling "The Meaning of Life" left off, "Tomorrow" reflects on staying sane in a world of change, conflict, confusion, and seeming madness, advising readers on how to maintain their footing and optimism even when the very ground seems to shift beneath their soles. see all copies from $1.99! new only from $1.99! \| first editions \| SVS
5	The Strategy Paradox: Why Committing to Success Leads to Failure (and What to Do about It) more books like this by Michael Raynor add to wishlist With detailed case studies of successes and failures at Sony, Microsoft, AT&T, and other major companies, Raynor presents a concrete framework for strategic action that allows companies to seize today's opportunities while simultaneously preparing for tomorrow's promise. see all copies from $3.99! new only from $12.65! \| first editions \| SVS
6	Uncertainty: Einstein, Heisenberg, Bohr, and the Struggle for the Soul of Science more books like this by David Lindley add to wishlist "Uncertainty" chronicles the birth and evolution of one of the most significant findings in the history of science--called the Runcertainty principleS--and the clash of ideas and personalities it provoked. see all copies from $5.50! new only from $8.29! \| first editions \| SVS
7	The Minding Organization: Bringing the Future to the Present and Turn Creative Ideas Into Business Solutions more books like this by Moshe F Rubinstein, Iris Rubinstein Firstenberg add to wishlist A few years ago, Cementos Mexicanos (Cemex), the world's third-largest cement company, was struggling. More than two-thirds of their deliveries were late, customer complaints were numerous, and new orders were dwindling sharply. Then Cemex executives realized they needed to get a glimpse of the future. They saw themselves responding to customer ... see all copies from $1.99! new only from $8.83! \| SVS
8	Risk, uncertainty and profit more books like this by Frank H Knight add to wishlist We live in a world full of contradiction and paradox, a fact of which perhaps the most fundamental illustration is this: that the existence of a problem of knowledge depends on the future being different than the past, while the possibility of the solution of the problem depends on the future being like the past. -from Chapter XI: Uncertainty and ... see all copies from $7.52! new only from $9.15! \| SVS
9	Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis more books like this by Millett Granger Morgan, Max Henrion add to wishlist The authors explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis. This book outlines the source and nature of uncertainty, discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment, and reviews a variety of simple and advanced methods for analyzing uncertainty. Powerful computer environments ... see all copies from $24.26! new only from $37.42! \| SVS
10	Calculated Risks: How to Know When Numbers Deceive You more books like this by Gerd Gigerenzer add to wishlist This eye-opening book takes up where "Innumeracy" leaves off and explains how our ignorance about numbers can jeopardize our health, our wealth, and our lives--and what we can do about it. 28 line drawings. see all copies from $7.28! new only from $13.13! \| first editions \| SVS
11 view cover	Uncertain Inference more books like this by Henry Ely Kyburg, Jr Kyburg, Choh Man Teng add to wishlist Coping with uncertainty is a necessary part of ordinary life and is crucial to an understanding of how the mind works. For example, it is a vital element in developing artificial intelligence that will not be undermined by its own rigidities. There have been many approaches to the problem of uncertain inference, ranging from probability to ... see all copies from $6.42! new only from $6.73! \| first editions
12 view cover	Notes on the Theory of Choice more books like this by David M Kreps add to wishlist In this book, Professor Kreps presents a first course on the basic models of choice theory that underlie much of economic theory. This course, taught for several years at the Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, gives the student an introduction to the axiomatic method of economic analysis, without placing too heavy a demand on ... see all copies from $34.96! new only from $34.96! \| SVS
13 view cover	Financial Security in Troubled Times: What You Need to Do Now more books like this by Rick Edelman add to wishlist A book that grew out of the questions and concerns of Edelman's clients in the aftermath of the September 11th terrorist attacks, "Financial Security in Troubled Times" offers expert advice for troubled readers for preserving and protecting their financial assets, securing the financial future of their loved ones, and ensuring that their ... see all copies from $1.99! new only from $1.99! \| signed copies \| first editions \| SVS
14 view cover	Human Judgement and Social Policy: Irreducible Uncertainty, Inevitable Error, Unavoidable Injustice more books like this by Kenneth R Hammond, Hammond R Kenneth add to wishlist From the O.J. Simpson verdict to peace-making in the Balkans, the critical role of human judgment--complete with its failures, flaws, and successes--has never been more hotly debated and analyzed than it is today. This landmark work examines the dynamics of judgment and its impact on events that take place in human society, which require the ... see all copies from $8.97! new only from $8.97! \| SVS
15 view cover	Picturing the Uncertain World: How to Understand, Communicate, and Control Uncertainty Through Graphical Display more books like this by Howard Wainer add to wishlist In his entertaining and informative book "Graphic Discovery", Howard Wainer unlocked the power of graphical display to make complex problems clear. Now he's back with Picturing the Uncertain World, a book that explores how graphs can serve as maps to guide us when the information we have is ambiguous or incomplete. Using a visually diverse ... see all copies from $21.41! new only from $21.41! \| first editions \| SVS
16 view cover	Proactive Risk Management: Controlling Uncertainty in Product Development more books like this by Preston G Smith, Guy M Merritt, Roland Smith add to wishlist Proactive Risk Management provides product development teams and project managers with a step-by-step process for managing innovation risk in an effective cross-functional manner. In addition to providing a formula, this book illuminates the rationale of managing project risks allowing project and product development managers to successfully ... see all copies from $11.37! new only from $34.16! \| SVS
17 view cover	Uncertain Science ... Uncertain World more books like this by Henry N Pollack add to wishlist Is the world warming due to the Greenhouse Effect? Can nuclear weapon arsenals be relied upon without periodic testing? Is the world running out of oil? What action should be taken against an outbreak of foot-and-mouth or BSE? Why can't scientists provide certain answers to these and many other questions? The uncertainty of science is puzzling. It ... see all copies from $1.99! new only from $4.45! \| first editions
18 view cover	Uncertainty in American Politics more books like this by Barry C Burden (Editor) add to wishlist This book represents an exciting intellectual meeting of researchers from diverse subfields to analyze how and why uncertainty affects American politics. It seeks to reconnect research traditions that have seldom spoken to one another. Though used by formal theorists, empiricists, and historians in a parallel fashion for a number of years, the ... see all copies from $3.17! new only from $4.98! \| SVS
19 view cover	Moral Uncertainty and Its Consequences more books like this by Ted Lockhart add to wishlist We are often uncertain how to behave morally in complex situations. In this controversial study, Ted Lockhart contends that moral philosophy has failed to address how we make such moral decisions. Adapting decision theory to the task of decision-making under moral uncertainly, he proposes that we should not always act how we feel we ought to act, ... see all copies from $6.00! new only from $6.00! \| first editions \| SVS
20 view cover	The Analytics of Uncertainty and Information more books like this by Dr. Jack Hirsh, Jack Hirshleifer, John G Riley add to wishlist Economists have always recognised that human endeavours are constrained by our limited and uncertain knowledge, but only recently has an accepted theory of uncertainty and information evolved. This theory has turned out to have surprisingly practical applications: for example in analysing stock market returns, in evaluating accident prevention ... see all copies from $34.00! new only from $42.11! \| first editions \| SVS
21 view cover	Harvard Business Review on Managing Uncertainty more books like this by Hugh Courtney, Harvard Business School Press, Hbr add to wishlist This book presents leading minds and landmark ideas in an easily accessible format. From the preeminent thinkers whose work has defined an entire field to the rising stars who will redefine the way we think about business, "The Harvard Business Review Paperback" series delivers the fundamental information today's professionals need to stay ... see all copies from $5.00! new only from $11.90! \| SVS
22 view cover	Measurement Uncertainty: An Approach Via the Mathematical Theory of Evidence more books like this by Simona Salicone add to wishlist The expression of uncertainty in measurement is a challenging aspect for researchers and engineers working in instrumentation and measurement because it involves physical, mathematical and philosophical issues. This problem is intensified by the limitations of the probabilistic approach used by the current standard (GUM). This text is the first to ... see all copies from $49.95! new only from $49.95! \| first editions \| SVS
23 view cover	Information and Organizations more books like this by Arthur L Stinchcombe add to wishlist An ambitious new work by a well-respected sociologist, "Information and Organizations" provides a bold perspective of the dynamics of organizations. Stinchcombe contends that the "information problem" and the concept of "uncertainty" provide the key to understanding how organizations function. In a delightful mix of large theoretical insights and ... see all copies from $4.85! new only from $27.65! \| first editions \| SVS
24 view cover	Measurement Uncertainty, Fourth Edition: Methods and Applications more books like this by Ronald H Dieck add to wishlist This book presents engineering students with a comprehensive tutorial of measurement uncertainty methods in a logically categorized and readily utilized format. The new uncertainty technologies embodied in both U.S. and international standards have been incorporated into this edition with a view toward understanding the strengths and weaknesses of ... see all copies from $120.45! new only from $120.45!
25 view cover	The Cost of Certainty: How Religious Conviction Betrays the Human Psyche more books like this by Jeremy Young add to wishlist This book critically explores the Christian teaching of God's unconditional love. The author argues for the recovery of a spirituality of uncertainty and unconditional love as a basis for a renewal of contemporary Christian faith and practice. see all copies from $1.99! new only from $4.98! \| first editions \| SVS

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	Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, PH.D., MBA see all from $3.71! new only from $5.35!
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	Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases by Daniel Kahneman (Photographer), Amos Tversky (Editor), Paul Slovic (Photographer) see all from $48.00! new only from $53.65!
	Gut Feelings: The Intelligence of the Unconscious by Gerd Gigerenzer see all from $1.99! new only from $2.63!
	Capitalism and Freedom by Milton Friedman see all from $2.25! new only from $27.62!
	End the Struggle and Dance with Life: How to Build Yourself Up When the World Gets You Down by Susan Jeffers, Ph.D see all from $1.99! new only from $1.99!