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Gut Feelings: The Intelligence of the Unconscious
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Gerd Gigerenzer
This book is grounded in cutting-edge research, and its message is conveyed through compelling, real-life examples.
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Calculated Risks: How to Know When Numbers Deceive You
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Gerd Gigerenzer
At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities as we try to navigate in a world dominated by ...
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Bounded Rationality: The Adaptive Toolbox
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Gerd Gigerenzer (Editor), Reinhard Selten (Editor)
How do people, animals, and institutions make decisions in a complex and uncertain world? Rational choice theory answers this question from the perspective of an omniscient and omnipotent superintelligence that decides by optimizing. In contrast, this book promotes the concept of the "adaptive toolbox," a repertoire of fast and frugal heuristics ...
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Simple heuristics that make us smart
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Gerd Gigerenzer, Peter M Todd, Abc Research Group
Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart invites readers to embark on a new journey into a land of rationality that differs from the familiar territory of cognitive science and economics. Traditional views of rationality tend to see decision makers as possessing superhuman powers of reason, limitless knowledge, and all of eternity in which to ponder ...
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Adaptive Thinking: Rationality in the Real World
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Gerd Gigerenzer
Where do new ideas come from? What is social intelligence? Why do social scientists perform mindless statistical rituals? This vital book is about rethinking rationality as adaptive thinking: to understand how minds cope with their environments, both ecological and social. Gerd Gigerenzer proposes and illustrates a bold new research programme that ...
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The Empire of Chance: How Probability Changed Science and Everyday Life
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Gerd Gigerenzer
The Empire of Chance tells how quantitative ideas of chance transformed the natural and social sciences, as well as daily life over the last three centuries. A continuous narrative connects the earliest application of probability and statistics in gambling and insurance to the most recent forays into law, medicine, polling and baseball. Separate ...
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Experts in Science and Society
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Elke Kurz-Milcke, Gerd Gigerenzer (Editor)
In today's complex world, we have come to rely increasingly on those who have expertise in specific areas and can bring their knowledge to bear on crucial social, political and scientific questions. Taking the viewpoint that experts are consulted when there is something important at stake for an individual, a group, or society at large, "Experts ...
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Heuristics and the Law
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Gerd Gigerenzer (Editor), C Engel (Editor)
Experts in law, psychology, and economics explore the power of "fast and frugal" heuristics in the creation and implementation of law. In recent decades, the economists' concept of rational choice has dominated legal reasoning. And yet, in practical terms, neither the lawbreakers the law addresses nor officers of the law behave as the hyper ...
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Reckoning with risk : learning to live with uncertainty
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Gerd Gigerenzer
At the beginning of the 20th century, the father of modern science fiction, H.G. Wells, predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. Yet, a century on, most of us, from television weather forecasters to the American President, seem to have no idea of how to ...
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The Probabilistic Revolution, Volume 1: Ideas in History
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Lorenz Kruger (Editor), Mary S Morgan (Editor), Gerd Gigerenzer (Editor)
Winner in the category of Psychology in the 1987 Professional/Scholarly Publishing Annual Awards Competition presented by the Association of American Publishers, Inc. This monumental work traces the rise, the transformation, and the diffusion of probabilistic and statistical thinking in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. The contributors - ...
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Rationality for Mortals: How People Cope with Uncertainty
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Gerd Gigerenzer
Gerd Gigerenzer's influential work examines the rationality of individuals not from the perspective of logic or probability, but from the point of view of adaptation to the real world of human behavior and interaction with the environment. Seen from this perspective, human behavior is more rational than it might otherwise appear. This work is ...
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Reckoning with risk : learning to live with uncertainty
by
Gerd Gigerenzer
In the beginning of the 20th century, the father of modern science fiction, H.G. Wells, predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. Yet, a century on, most of us, from TV weather forecasters to the American President, seem to have no idea of how to reason ...
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The Probabilistic Revolution, Volume 2: Ideas in the Sciences
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Lorenz Kruger (Editor), Mary S Morgan (Editor), Gerd Gigerenzer (Editor)
Winner in the category of Psychology in the 1987 Professional/Scholarly Publishing Annual Awards Competition presented by the Association of American Publishers, Inc. This monumental work traces the rise, the transformation, and the diffusion of probabilistic and statistical thinking in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. The contributors - ...
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The Probabilistic Revolution Vol. 2: Ideas in the Sciences
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Mary Morgan (Editor), Lorenz Kruger (Editor), Gerd Gigerenzer (Editor)
This monumental work traces the rise, the transformation, and the diffusion of probabilistic and statistical thinking in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries.
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Bauchentscheidungen
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Gerd; Kober Gigerenzer, Hainer
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