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Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans ...Show synopsisElegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. And why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Nassim Nicholas Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don'?t know, and shows us how to face the world.Hide synopsis
Description:Fair. 1400063515 Unbeatable customer service, and we usually...Fair. 1400063515 Unbeatable customer service, and we usually ship the same or next day. Over one million satisfied customers!
Description:Good. [ No Hassle 30 Day Returns ] [ Edition: first ] Publisher:...Good. [ No Hassle 30 Day Returns ] [ Edition: first ] Publisher: Random House Pub Date: 4/17/2007 Binding: Hardcover Pages: 366.
Description:-Meets or exceeds the guidelines for GOOD condition. May have...-Meets or exceeds the guidelines for GOOD condition. May have minimal wear or damage; may have previous owner's signature.
Description:Good. Book with minor shelf wear & highlight in 25 pages. Ship...Good. Book with minor shelf wear & highlight in 25 pages. Ship within 1 business days with tracking number where available.
This book has some interesting ideas, but it is somewhat annoying. The author is full of himself and wanders off the subject. However, it does get better as you work through it.
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The author's snarky tone turned me off. He came off as such a smirking know-it-all that I didn't care what startling new conclusions he had reached.
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The book arrived with an unreported broken binding.
Taleb's content is entertaining and a useful if informal index of authors he mentions in passing, however as a standalone piece, it lacks substantive value (which I'm sure Taleb himself would admit).
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Engaging and intelligently written, without being obscure. As someone who generally reads literature, I nevertheless found the subject matter fascinating and Taleb's style easy to follow. I couldn't stop thinking about it - or talking about it - for weeks after having read it.
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