A wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at global changes that may occur over the next fifty years--whether sudden and cataclysmic world-changing ...Show synopsisA wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at global changes that may occur over the next fifty years--whether sudden and cataclysmic world-changing events or gradually unfolding trends.Hide synopsis
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Description:Very Good-in Very Good-dust jacket. 9780262195867. 307 pp. Index...Very Good-in Very Good-dust jacket. 9780262195867. 307 pp. Index. References. Spine, corners bumped. Jacket has light edgewear. A wide-ranging look at the possible catastrophes and trends that may occur.; 8vo 8"-9" tall.
Description:Very Good in Very Good jacket. Larger 8vo. pp. xi 307....Very Good in Very Good jacket. Larger 8vo. pp. xi 307."Fundamental change occurs most often in one of two ways: as a "fatal discontinuity, " a sudden catastrophic event that is potentially world changing, or as a persistent, gradual trend. Global catastrophes include volcanic eruptions, viral pandemics, wars, and large-scale terrorist attacks; trends are demographic, environmental, economic, and political shifts that unfold over time. In this provocative book, scientist Vaclav Smil takes a wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at the catastrophes and trends the next fifty years may bring. Smil first looks at rare but cataclysmic events, both natural and human-produced, then at trends of global importance, including the transition from fossil fuels to other energy sources and growing economic and social inequality. He also considers environmental change--in some ways an amalgam of sudden discontinuities and gradual change--and assesses the often misunderstood complexities of global warming. Global Catastrophes and Trends does not come down on the side of either doom-and-gloom scenarios or techno-euphoria. Instead, Smil argues that understanding change will help us reverse negative trends and minimize the risk of catastrophe."
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